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The US Open is typically known for tough course layouts and scores around even-par.
That was the case for a majority of the field at Pinehurst in 2014. Martin Kaymer won with a nine-under score, but no one else in the field was above one-under. Michael Campbell won in 2005 by shooting even par for the tournament.
The scores have gotten lower over the past five US Opens. Wyndham Clark won at 10-under last year. The last five champions have been at least six-under.
A score in the six-under range may be enough to become a major champion on Sunday.
Of course, Scheffler is the gold standard at the moment, but the recent trend of US Open winners does not support him winning.
Clark, Matt Fitzpatrick, Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau and Gary Woodland were all first-time major winners at the US Open over the last five years.
Brooks Koepka in 2018 was the last golfer with a major title to win the US Open. He won his first major title the year before at the US Open.
Viktor Hovland, Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood have the lowest odds among the group of players without a major win.
However, that trend could be put to rest since seven of the 10 golfers with the lowest odds to win at Pinehurst are major winners.
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