Monday, May 27, 2024

2024 PGA Championship: Power ranking golfers based on championship odds

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With the PGA Championship right around the corner, everyone is wondering who is going to take home the win in 2024’s second major tournament. While there was speculation that tournament favorite Scottie Scheffler would not participate due to the birth of his first child, he appears to be good to go. While Scheffler is undoubtedly the favorite to win, there is still a tremendous field of golfers at Valhalla this weekend, ready to provide spectators with a tremendous experience.

Outside of Scheffler, the other frontrunners like Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka are both coming off victories in their most recent tournament appearances. Still, Scheffler has won four of his last five tournaments. Perhaps his month-long hiatus from golf will give the other golfers just enough leeway to snag a major championship of their own. Who will be the one to emerge victorious though? That’s what we are trying to figure out here.

Here’s every golfer participating in this weekend’s PGA Championship ranked by their championship odds. All odds via BetMGM.

2024 PGA Championship: Expert picks, predictions and odds

PGA Championship odds:

The favorites:

  • Scottie Scheffler (+450)
  • Rory McIlroy (+750)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1400)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1400)
  • Jon Rahm (+1800)
  • Ludvig Aberg (+1800)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+2500)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2800)

Of everyone in this tier, there is only one safe bet — Scottie Scheffler. Everything that needs to be said about Scheffler has already been said at the top of this article. He’s just been playing a level above everyone else for some time and until proven otherwise, he’s going to win every tournament he plays in.

If you’re a superstitious bettor though, Rory McIlroy hasn’t won a major since 2014, where he won both the Open Championship and the PGA Championship. Sure, McIlroy is going through a divorce right now, but he went through a broken engagement in 2014 and look how that year turned out for him. If history does, in fact, repeat itself, then there’s money to be made by betting on McIlroy.

The contenders:

  • Joaquin Niemann (+3300)
  • Max Homa (+3300)
  • Cameron Smith (+4000)
  • Cameron Young (+4000)
  • Justin Thomas (+4000)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+4000)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+4000)
  • Viktor Hovland (+4000)
  • Wyndham Clark (+4000)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+5000)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+5500)
  • Jason Day (+5500)

Cameron Young has finished top-ten at five majors in his career, including the 2024 Masters. He’s also finished top-three twice. Young is still only 27 years old, with tons of career in front of him, but he’s been nibbling at the heel of a major championship for some time, and he could breakthrough any moment.

The dark horses:

  • Byeong-Hun An (+6600)
  • Dustin Johnson (+6600)
  • Jordan Spieth (+6600)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+6600)
  • Min Woo Lee (+6600)
  • Shahith Theegala (+6600)
  • Sam Burns (+6600)
  • Sungjae Im (+6600)
  • Tony Finau (+6600)
  • Will Zalatoris (+6600)
  • Russell Henley (+8000)
  • Si-Woo Kim (+8000)
  • Dean Burmester (+9000)
  • Sepp Straka (+9000)
  • Shane Lowry (+9000)
  • Adam Scott (+10000)
  • Corey Conners (+10000)
  • Talor Gooch (+10000)
  • Tom Kim (+10000)

Sahith Theegala appears to be a popular sleeper among experts. Theegala is the world’s highest-ranked golfer without a win this year, but he could be in for a breakout in Valhalla. He measures well in several notable stats and has finished pretty well in several tournaments, even without a win.

The longshots:

  • Akshay Bhatia (+12500)
  • Alex Noren (+12500)
  • Brian Harman (+12500)
  • Denny McCarthy (+12500)
  • Kurt Kitayama (+12500)
  • Patrick Reed (+12500)
  • Rickie Fowler (+12500)
  • Stephan Jaeger (+12500)
  • Chris Kirk (+15000)
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+15000)
  • Harris English (+15000)
  • Keith Mitchell (+15000)
  • Taylor Pendrith (+15000)
  • Cam Davis (+17500)
  • Keegan Bradley (+17500)
  • Nicolai Hojgaard (+17500)
  • Aaron Rai (+20000)
  • Adam Schenk (+20000)
  • Billy Horschel (+20000)
  • Jake Knapp (+20000)
  • JT Poston (+20000)
  • Lucas Glover (+20000)
  • Mackenzie Hughes (+20000)
  • Ryan Fox (+20000)
  • Taylor Moore (+20000)
  • Thomas Detry (+20000)
  • Tiger Woods (+20000)
  • Tom Hoge (+20000)
  • Adrian Meronk (+22500)
  • Adam Hadwin (+25000)
  • Eric Cole (+25000)
  • Erik van Rooyen (+25000)
  • Justin Rose (+25000)
  • Lucas Herbert (+25000)
  • Matthiew Pavon (+25000)
  • Nick Taylor (+25000)
  • Patrick Rodgers (+25000)
  • Phil Mickelson (+25000)
  • Robert Macintyre (+25000)
  • Sebastian Soderberg (+25000)
  • Alex Smalley (+25000)
  • Chris Gotterup (+25000)
  • Austin Eckroat (+30000)
  • Beau Hossler (+30000)
  • Ben Griffin (+30000)
  • David Puig (+30000)
  • Keita Nakajima (+30000)
  • Matt Wallace (+30000)
  • Maverick McNealy (+30000)
  • Nick Dunlap (+30000)
  • Thorbjorn Olesen (+30000)
  • S.H. Kim (+30000)
  • Andrew Putnam (+35000)
  • Brendon Todd (+35000)
  • Luke List (+35000)
  • Rasmus Hojgaard (+35000)
  • Victor Perez (+35000)
  • Adam Svensson (+40000)
  • Adrian Otaegui (+40000)
  • Doug Ghim (+40000)
  • Emiliano Grillo (+40000)
  • Jordan Smith (+40000)
  • K.H. Lee (+40000)
  • Lee Hodges (+40000)
  • Mark Hubbard (+40000)
  • Ryo Hisatsune (+40000)
  • Tim Widing (+40000)
  • C.T. Pan (+40000)
  • Alexander Bjork (+50000)
  • Andy Ogletree (+50000)
  • Charley Hoffman (+50000)
  • Gary Woodland (+50000)
  • Grayson Murray (+50000)
  • Jesper Svensson (+50000)
  • Sami Valimaki (+50000)
  • Takumi Kanaya (+50000)
  • Thriston Lawrence (+50000)
  • Vincent Norrman (+50000)
  • Ben Kohles (+60000)
  • Alejandro Tosti (+75000)
  • Brice Garnett (+75000)
  • Francesco Molinari (+75000)
  • Kazuma Kobori (+75000)
  • Martin Kaymer (+75000)
  • Padraig Harrington (+75000)
  • Peter Malnati (+75000)
  • Ryan Van Velzen (+75000)
  • Andrew Svoboda (+100000)
  • Camilo Villegas (+100000)
  • Jimmy Walker (+100000)
  • Luke Donald (+100000)
  • Zac Blair (+100000)
  • Jason Dufner (+150000)
  • Michael Block (+150000)
  • YE Yang (+150000)
  • Ben Polland (+200000)
  • Brad Marek (+200000)
  • Braden Shattuck (+200000)
  • Evan Bowser (+200000)
  • Jared Jones (+200000)
  • Jeffrey Lellen (+200000)
  • Jeremy Wells (+200000)
  • Jesse Mueller (+200000)
  • John Somers (+200000)
  • Josh Bevell (+200000)
  • Josh Speight (+200000)
  • Kyle Mendoza (+200000)
  • Larkin Gross (+200000)
  • Matt Dobyns (+200000)
  • Preston Cole (+200000)
  • Tracy Phillips (+200000)
  • Tyler Collet (+200000)
  • Wyatt Worthington (+200000)
  • Zac Oakley (+200000)
  • John Daly (+300000)
  • Rich Beem (+300000)
  • Shaun Micheel (+400000)

Bet you didn’t know that many people were participating in the PGA Championship this year. Of everyone on this list, Jake Knapp could be a name to watch. Long drives are his game, and that plays very well at Valhalla.

Outside of Knapp, guys like Nick Dunlap — a young up-and-comer who has dominated every level he’s competed at so far — or Erik van Rooyen — someone who showed potential with a strong Round 1 during the Masters before falling off in the last two days — could be interesting bets.

Obviously, the safest bet for any player in this tier is no bet at all, but if you’re dying for generational wealth, be my guest.

How to watch the 2024 PGA Championship:

Thursday, May 16:

  • Streaming coverage begins at 7:00 a.m. ET – 12:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+
  • Broadcast coverage begins at 12:00 p.m. ET- 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN

Friday, May 17:

  • Streaming coverage begins at 7:00 a.m. ET – 1:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+
  • Broadcast coverage begins at 1:00 p.m. ET- 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN

Saturday, May 18:

  • Streaming coverage begins at 8:00 a.m. ET – 10:00 a.m. ET on ESPN+
  • Broadcast coverage begins at 10:00 a.m. ET- 1:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
  • Broadcast coverage continues at 1:00 p.m. ET- 7:00 p.m. ET on CBS and stream on Paramount+

Sunday, May 19:

  • Streaming coverage begins at 8:00 a.m. ET – 10:00 a.m. ET on ESPN+
  • Broadcast coverage begins at 10:00 a.m. ET- 1:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
  • Broadcast coverage continues at 1:00 p.m. ET- 7:00 p.m. ET on CBS and stream on Paramount+

How to watch: Catch the 2024 PGA Championship with a ESPN+ subscription

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